Know Sure Thing (KST): A Powerful Indicator for Spotting Trend Reversals

The Know Sure Thing is a technical indicator that helps identify trend reversals and confirm price trends . . . thereby aiding traders in making informed trading decisions

3–5 minutes


Looking for a reliable way to spot potential market shifts before they happen? The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator could be your secret weapon for identifying high-probability trades and unlocking new investment opportunities.


Successful trading is all about timing market trends, and the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, developed by Martin J. Pring, is a momentum-based tool designed to identify trend reversals and gauge trend strength. Unlike standalone indicators, the KST combines multiple moving averages to smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing traders with a comprehensive view of market momentum.


Looking for information on Know Sure Thing (KST) stock screener? Click here.


Interpreting the Know Sure Thing Indicator

The KST is a versatile tool that helps traders make informed decisions by assessing price momentum. Here’s how it can be used effectively:

  • Confirming Trend Strength: A rising KST above its signal line suggests bullish momentum, while a falling KST below its signal line signals bearish momentum.
  • Spotting Trend Reversals: When the KST crosses above its signal line, it indicates a potential bullish reversal. A cross below the signal line suggests a bearish reversal.
  • Divergence Detection: If the price is rising while the KST is making lower highs, it signals potential weakness in the trend (bearish divergence). Conversely, if the price is falling but KST is making higher lows, it indicates potential strength (bullish divergence).
  • Zero-Line Crossovers: When the KST crosses above the zero line, it confirms a strong uptrend, while a cross below signals a sustained downtrend.

By using these signals, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve the accuracy of their market entries and exits.


The Know Sure Thing edit dialog for customization

The Know Sure Thing indicator plotted along with SuperTrend in ChartAlert
(an illustration of just two ways KST can be used in the markets)

Martin Pring, a renowned technical analyst, highlights several best practices for using the KST effectively:

Use KST Crossovers for Trend Reversals

  • When the KST crosses above its signal line, it indicates a buying opportunity.
  • A crossover below the signal line suggests a selling opportunity.

Confirm Trends with Price Action

    • If prices are trending higher and KST supports the movement, the uptrend is strong.
    • If prices are rising but KST lags or turns downward, caution is needed.

    Combine KST with Other Indicators

    Customize KST for Different Timeframes

      • Short-term traders can use a faster setting for quicker signals.
      • Long-term investors should apply longer settings for major trend changes.

      Risk Management is Key

        • Always set stop-loss orders based on KST crossovers.
        • Avoid over-reliance on a single indicator—diversify your technical analysis.

        Advantages & Limitations of the Know Sure Thing Indicator

        Advantages

        • Identifies Trend Reversals Early – Helps traders capitalize on shifts in momentum.
        • Works Across Multiple Timeframes – Customizable settings for short- and long-term strategies.
        • Combines Multiple Indicators into One – More robust than single-metric momentum indicators.
        • Versatile in Different Market Conditions – Can be used in trending and range-bound markets.

        Limitations

        • Lagging Indicator – Since it uses moving averages, KST may react slower to sudden price changes.
        • False Signals in Choppy Markets – Best used with additional confirmation tools.
        • Customization Required – Needs adjustment for different trading styles and assets.

        Conclusion: Improve Your Trading with the KST Indicator

        The Know Sure Thing indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals and confirm market momentum. By following Martin Pring’s guidelines and using the KST alongside price action and other technical indicators, traders can make more confident trading decisions.


        Want to leverage KST in your trading? ChartAlert, our powerful end-of-day and 3rd party real-time-enabled desktop software, integrates the KST and other key indicators for smarter market analysis. Sign up for your 4-week paid evaluation trial today and take your trading to the next level!


        For examples of customizable Know Sure Thing (KST) factory scans that can be edited, modified, or revised, and subsequently scanned through ChartAlert’s native stock screener or technical analysis scanner, click here.

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