Structural slowdown in India’s economy — Manik Narain, UBS (Jan-2025)

UBS’s January 2025 report, led by Manik Narain, warns of a structural slowdown in India’s $4 trillion economy, advising investors to short the rupee and adopt an underweight position in equities. The decline is attributed to long-term issues, not just cyclical factors like oil prices or government spending cuts.

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UBS’s recent report (Jan-2025), led by Manik Narain, highlights a significant structural slowdown in India’s economy, prompting the bank to recommend investors short the Indian rupee and adopt an underweight position in Indian equities.

This assessment comes as India’s economy, valued at approximately $4 trillion, experiences a decline that cannot be solely attributed to cyclical factors such as oil price fluctuations or decreased government spending.

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