Also see: MAXHEALTH – Max Healthcare Institute – Q4 FY26 Financial Results – 21-May-26
3-Scenario Framework
📊 Base Case (50% Probability)
Key Variables: Oncology share stabilizes at 21–22% + Gurgaon breakeven in FY28.
Revenue grows 12–15% CAGR (ex-oncology: 15–18%) as digital/international offset oncology drag. EBITDA margins hover at 26–27% due to ALOS/labor cost lags. Free cash flow ~₹1,500 crore/year funds ₹1,200–1,500 crore annual capex, keeping net debt-to-EBITDA <1.2x.