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Also see: AXISBANK – Axis Bank – Q4 FY26 Financial Results – 25-Apr-26
3-Scenario Framework
📊 Base Case (50% Probability)
Macro stability (oil <$100/bbl, inflation ~5%, currency stable) enables sustained retail/SME growth (20%+ disbursements) and wholesale RAROC discipline. NIM stabilizes at ~3.70% (vs. 3.80% target) as deposit repricing catches up. GNPA remains <1.30%, with provisions (₹2,001 crore) unused. ROE: 14–15%, PAT growth: 10–12% YoY.
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