🔍 Observations
Topline
- FY26 revenue from operations grew 5.1% YoY (₹808,029M → ₹849,619M), modest given fleet expansion underway; Q4FY26 revenue of ₹224,384M was flat QoQ and up just 1.3% YoY.
- Other income surged 38.1% YoY (₹32,953M → ₹45,515M), partly cushioning operating weakness; stripping this, core operating revenue growth is thin.
- Q4FY26 sequential revenue dip of ₹10,335M despite being a peak travel quarter signals yield pressure or capacity underutilisation.
Bottomline
- FY26 net loss of ₹23,936M vs. net profit of ₹72,584M in FY25 — a ₹96,520M swing — driven primarily by forex loss of ₹89,757M (vs. ₹16,179M in FY25).
- Exceptional items of ₹17,964M in FY26 (nil in FY25) added further drag; pre-exceptional, pre-forex EBIT is materially better but still compressed.
- Q4FY26 net loss of ₹25,369M vs. Q4FY25 profit of ₹30,675M — forex loss of ₹48,229M in a single quarter is the single largest P&L distortion.
Margins
- FY26 EBITDAR (pre-D&A, pre-finance costs, pre-rentals): Revenue ₹849,619M less fuel ₹253,892M, employee ₹82,722M, airport fees ₹65,482M, MRO ₹129,121M, other ₹83,015M, in-flight ₹4,949M = EBITDAR ~₹230,438M, margin ~27.1% vs. ~29.0% in FY25 (computed from same line items) — ~190bps compression.
- Finance costs up 15.9% YoY (₹50,800M → ₹58,908M) and D&A up 24.5% (₹86,802M → ₹108,082M) reflect fleet-linked liability growth eating into margins.
- Aircraft and engine rentals fell sharply (₹30,103M → ₹20,847M, -30.7%), partly offset by higher supplementary rentals and MRO (+15.1%).
Growth Trajectory
- Revenue CAGR implied from FY25→FY26 is ~5%, well below fleet capacity addition pace — unit revenue (RASK) under pressure.
- Total expenses grew 17.2% YoY vs. revenue growth of 5.1%, producing negative operating leverage; cost-to-income ratio deteriorated sharply.
- Forex volatility is structural for an airline with USD-denominated lease and MRO obligations; without hedging clarity, earnings predictability remains low.